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The future of these remarkable plants and animals is far from secure.
Massive deforestation has taken place since the 1970s. Only a fragment
of the islands original forest cover remains and over 300 species
of its plants and animals are threatened with extinction. The plight of
the human population is also grim. With an average per-capita income of
US$216 a year and a foreign debt that nearly equals its gross national
product, the island is ranked amongst the poorest nations in the world.
Madagascar's exploding population exacerbates its economic stress. The islands average population growth rate ranks among the highest in Africa at 2.8 percent per year. The population of around 14.1 million is expected to double by 2025. Since in-migration is negligible, population growth is driven by high fertility rates. In turn, poverty and a lack of reproductive health facilities contribute to the high fertility rate. Research has also shown a clear correlation between fertility and women's access to education. This is significant for Madagascar as over 40 percent of the female population over the age of 15 is illiterate. Female literacy is exceptionally low in the spiny forest but higher in the central highlands in and around the capital, Antananarivo. Understanding the significant relationships between population growth,
fertility and literacy in Madagascar is important for those concerned
with protecting the island's biological diversity. First, it suggests
the need for fine-scale investigation into how specific demographic trends
in and around important biological sites affect wild species and habitat.
The results of these investigations could spur partnerships between conservation
organizations, local agencies and communities. An effort to depress fertility
through education may benefit natural spaces as well as improve the prospects
for Madagascar's younger generations. LIVESTOCK AND THE ENVIRONMENT The study of the spatial pattern of human and livestock demographic trends can help explain the current state of Madagascar's natural environment. Understanding the intricacies of human-environment relations is a prerequisite for protecting the islands environment for both people and wildlife. By assessing the human pressures associated with environmental degradation, WWF and its partners hope to understand and ultimately to stem threats to ancient and diverse habitats.
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Copyright AAAS 2000. |